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765a4314-b654-4901-9d94-1959ddfb463c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vector-Valued Reinforcement Learning
In order to study algorithms that can modify their own reward functions, we can define vector-valued versions of reinforcement learning concepts.
Imagine that there are several different goods that we could care about; then a utility function is represented by a preference vector ... |
d91b2da6-81ec-4a03-8de9-2cc0c698ecd5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Questions for an AGI project
I've been thinking a bit about what would cause me to support an AGI project and thought it might be interesting to others, and I'd be interested in other risks or questions.
The questions would be about discovering the projects stance on various risks. By stance I mean.
* How they plan... |
b12ba85f-3882-42bf-82c4-c9afe20e7dc9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FHI Report: How Will National Security Considerations
Affect Antitrust Decisions in AI? An
Examination of Historical Precedents
> Part I lists and analyzes the cases I identified, then lists several conclusions I was able to draw from my case studies. Those conclusions are:
>
> 1. National security considerations ha... |
5ffd8bf4-0a70-4250-b57d-01b157457c0d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Perform Tractable Research While Avoiding Capabilities Externalities [Pragmatic AI Safety #4]
*This is the fourth post in* [*a sequence of posts*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MskKEsj8nWREoMjQK/introduction-to-pragmatic-ai-safety-pragmatic-ai-safety-1) *that describe our models for Pragmatic AI Safety.*
... |
2994e711-e9c8-4b9b-bd42-93884bb7a635 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Potential Impossibility of Subjective Death
Epistemic Status: ~70% confidence, hoping to get some feedback.
I'm going to argue that if we accept three controversial (but not outlandish) assumptions to be true, then subjective death (the cessation of conscious experiences identifying themselves as "you") is imposs... |
b1d99f19-e4ef-4a70-a617-fa898c5b3bc0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Applying utility functions to humans considered harmful
There's a lot of discussion on this site that seems to be assuming (implicitly or explicitly) that it's meaningful to talk about the utility functions of individual humans. I would like to question this assumption.
To clarify: I don't question that you couldn't... |
7ced5514-1cad-419b-8a24-cf2e7931b2f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Predictable Defect-Cooperate?
Epistemic status: I consider everything written here pretty obvious, but I haven't seen this anywhere else. It would be cool if you could provide sources on topic!
Reason to write: I've seen once pretty confused discussion in Twitter about how multiple superintelligences will predictably... |
9eed5c02-62c7-4948-a1fd-c8eb24e1fc8b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I'm Working On Model Agnostic Interpretability
Work done @ SERI-MATS.
This is the first in a short series of short posts about interpretability. In this post, I'm collecting some thoughts on why model agnostic interpretability is a worthwhile pursuit. I'll assume that the reader is sympathetic to arguments for in... |
f428e1c2-13dd-46f1-a5f5-69f0850c594f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | January 2018 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out the... |
98570326-6e47-4d2f-b8b5-4e275aa09f6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ottawa LW meetup, May 26, 7pm; Bayes study group, May 26, 9am
Less Wrong meeting:
Date: Thursday May 26, 7:00pm 'til whenever.
Venue: Bridgehead, 282 Elgin St. (corner at MacLaren).
Bayes study group: Anyone in the region interested in learning how to do Bayesian statistics is welcome to join us. We'll be using the... |
621966d9-0c8a-42b2-ba1d-d4322d70343b | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3464
A catastrophe is an event so bad that we are not willing to let it happen even a single time. For example, we would be unhappy if our self-driving car ever accelerates to 65 mph in a residential area and hits a pedestrian. Catastrophes present a theoretical challenge for traditional machine learning — typ... |
86ddd748-5453-4963-b63b-5266551aa05a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Which one of these two academic routes should I take to end up in AI Safety?
I've finished two Bachelor's in Maths and Physics with moderately good grades, but a fairly advanced Thesis (and advanced learning) in Mathematical Logic. I've recently learned about the ethical urgency of AI Safety research. With the prospec... |
3477fa57-5694-460d-b6d6-624dfd97b9ab | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AXRP Episode 5 - Infra-Bayesianism with Vanessa Kosoy
[Google Podcasts link](https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9heHJwb2RjYXN0LmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz/episode/YjExOTA0NmItMDBmZC00Yzc5LTgwMGYtOTRkNDkyMzcwZDk3)
This podcast is called AXRP, pronounced axe-urp and short for the AI X-risk Research Podcast. Here, I ([... |
6afba94a-56ab-490d-b69c-e7b267c2d6ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The immediate real-world uses of Friendly AI research
Much of the glamor and attention paid toward Friendly AI is focused on the misty-future event of a super-intelligent general AI, and how we can prevent it from repurposing our atoms to better run Quake 2. Until very recently, that was the full breadth of the field ... |
133b6d0a-ecd8-498e-ac6c-631b1784279d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Perpetually Declining Population?
In With a Whimper: Depopulation and Longtermism, Geruso and Spears give the following argument for why most people who'll ever live may have already died:
* People are generally having children below replacement rate: 1.66 children per woman in the US, and total global annual birt... |
f1618637-1071-4007-8b83-f3951324d1cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI: GPT-based LLMs show ability to discriminate between its own wrong answers, but inability to explain how/why it makes that discrimination, even as model scales
This seems concerning. Not an expert so unable to tell how concerning it is. Wanted to start a discussion! Full text: https://openai.com/blog/critiques/... |
3711a3b0-c79b-4f52-b1ae-c5eb60f68137 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philosophical schools are approaches not positions
One of the great challenges of learning philosophy is trying to understand the difference between different schools of thought. Often it can be almost impossible to craft a definition that is specific enough to be understandable, whilst also being general enough to co... |
d58ca17a-01a8-4119-8eca-ca07662e71e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Rationalist Guide to Hinduism
The Lost schools of Thought in Hinduism and What They Mean.
> TL;DR: Hinduism, the world's 3rd/4th largest belief system, has surprising, rational roots that go beyond idolatry and polytheism. This piece unravels the richness of its intellectual heritage and first principles thinking,... |
de9833b3-6b97-418a-bc48-9b4f1a71637c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cognitive Universality: A New Criterion for Strong AI
|
95cb0cf7-5f28-408b-858b-3ed510ae10da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Resources for AI Alignment Cartography
I want to make an actionable map of AI alignment.
After years of reading papers, blog posts, online exchanges, books, and occasionally hidden documents about AI alignment and AI risk, and having extremely interesting conversations about it, most arguments I encounter now feel fa... |
eab6ced8-48f9-4001-9506-118f4e9f125f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Load Bearing Magic
In the days of yore, you do not invoke magic, but to become for a moment the faucet it pours from into this world. In the good tsarist years, the scaffold known to us witches today as the fundamental layer of magic was not yet invented. Without these precautions, our predecessors practised a greater... |
35ceddd4-782e-4653-9c04-b2ffad6f05cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experimenting With Footboard Piezos
In playing for contra dances it's rare to have a drummer. You mostly see them at big events where the finances work out for a fourth or fifth musician: in trio, or especially a duo, you generally can't allocate anyone just to drums. What you do see a lot of, however, is a musician p... |
d3e18bcd-aaaf-4969-ad88-f14fb20a3c36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paris Meetup, Saturday April 30th, 2PM
When: Saturday, April 16st, 2:00 PM Saturday, April 30th, 2PM.
Where: Au Pt'it Chat, a little Café near Châtelet, which is here. I'll be there with a LessWrong sign.
I know there are a few LessWrongers that live around Paris, but I've only met Morendil ... so let's try a more ... |
b8d793c7-9ed3-4d33-bd36-e815feca7d7e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Would AIs trapped in the Metaverse pine to enter the real world and would the ramifications cause trouble?
Long time lurker, I don't post here as I'm not confident I'm as smart as you guys, I hang out in dumber parts of the Singularitarian Internet. Anyway, I believe I've come up with rather a worrying original though... |
b3c38c22-2024-4663-9d59-9baceed33668 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counting Lightning
When Samir returned to the base JiuJang waited by the entrance. There was no point in denying he had disobeyed JiuJang's warning, so he was upfront about it.
"I went outside," Samir admitted. "It was raining heavily. The wind blew so strong I barely could hear anything. And every second or so, ligh... |
c82e4608-62d8-45f4-a5f5-4582814b4706 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Somerville Housing Units
In the comments on yesterday's post on Somerville building age someone suggested census data for housing units could be helpful. I've now looked into it, but it's not great: Somerville seems to not have been submitting building permit data to the census until recently, and the way condo conver... |
f420192c-f672-427a-93e4-cd488332bd9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : [Boston] The Psychology of Marketing
Discussion article for the meetup : [Boston] The Psychology of Marketing
WHEN: 16 June 2013 02:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 25 Ames St, Cambridge, MA 02139
f you've ever asked the question "how can I use my knowledge of psychology to take over the world?", then this talk is f... |
a6500959-b334-4c47-874a-e74fc1f8dfe2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | October 2015 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out the... |
e65b011c-9707-4647-a1b6-7d10de450776 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Designing Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Designing Games
WHEN: 06 March 2016 03:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Reynolds Center
This is a meetup for talking about game design and for designing games. We may do some pre-meetup planning on the list (e.g. brainstorming id... |
637f022f-bc0e-4728-8374-5a44570c85a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Training Garrabrant inductors to predict counterfactuals
----------------------------------------
author:
* 'Tsvi Benson-Tilsen' title: Training Garrabrant inductors to predict counterfactuals ...
The ideas in this post are due to Scott, me, and possibly others. Thanks to Nisan Stiennon for working through the det... |
40f16c7e-dba7-4555-9230-2e7c75ae5985 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Critical Checkpoints for Evaluating Defence Models Against Adversarial Attack and Robustness
I Introduction
---------------
While creating any model of ML or DL it is very crucial to understand that how you can subvert them. Our goal should not only be to train the model but instead train on such robust features so... |
ae83c1b9-e5b1-4849-9cde-8b81cdc9653f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Maybe Anthropic's Long-Term Benefit Trust is powerless
Crossposted from AI Lab Watch. Subscribe on Substack.
Introduction
Anthropic has an unconventional governance mechanism: an independent "Long-Term Benefit Trust" elects some of its board. Anthropic sometimes emphasizes that the Trust is an experiment, but mostly... |
f57936ab-b861-4a1f-9b48-d45b3bfb2105 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How I force LLMs to generate correct code
Original Article: https://claudio.uk/posts/unvibe.html
In my daily work as software consultant I'm often dealing with large pre-existing code bases. I use GitHub Copilot a lot. It's now basically indispensable, but I use it mostly for generating boilerplate code, or figur... |
9a8855c9-41a3-4d73-abb7-0cb35fbfffbf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | New paper: “A formal solution to the grain of truth problem”
[](http://www.auai.org/uai2016/proceedings/papers/87.pdf)
Future of Humanity Institute Research Fellow [Jan Leike](https://jan.leike.name/) and MIRI Research F... |
06d0f815-a914-442c-92c8-352fb4770274 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Baking vs Patissing vs Cooking, the HPS explanation
Why is baking harder than cooking?
I’m not even talking about creating recipes, merely executing them.
Think about it: when cooking, you manipulate a far more diverse cast of ingredients, by applying many more techniques (cutting, cooking, mixing…); yet with a bit ... |
ebac4d07-3cc4-48c4-bdf1-2f209f205c88 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Debate tools: an experience report
Follow-up to: Argument Maps Improve Critical Thinking, Software Tools for Community Truth-Seeking
We are here, among other things, in an attempt to collaboratively refine the art of human rationality.
Rationality is hard, because the wetware we run rationality on is scavenged parts... |
0e1aad7a-0bdf-4e70-8508-d440e81f14fa | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post916
(This post is inspired by Carl Shulman’s recent podcast with Dwarkesh Patel , which I highly recommend. See also discussion from Buck Shlegeris and Ryan Greenblatt here , and Evan Hubinger here .) Introduction Consider: The “no sandbagging on checkable tasks” hypothesis : With rare exceptions, if a not-wil... |
5522dec1-713c-48f6-80b7-601cde2f868f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words
Today's post, Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words was originally published on 24 February 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> You draw an unsimple boundary without any reason to do so. The act of defining a word to refer to all humans,... |
63d6f56d-0eed-45a5-a9cd-9c14344621f6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | How Low Should Fruit Hang Before We Pick It?
*Even if we can measure how impactful an agent's actions are, how impactful do we let the agent be? This post uncovers a surprising fact: armed with just four numbers, we can set the impact level so that the agent chooses a reasonable, non-catastrophic plan on the first try... |
ecae2016-4cac-40b6-81f8-d2d8a440ab6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is the correlation between upvoting and benefit to readers of LW?
Do posts with more upvotes actually provide more (real) value to community members? Is there any evidence to support this hypothesis? How this could be measured at all?
Regarding confirmation bias: personally, as a LessWrong member, are you more... |
0e503370-cea4-4454-9adb-d674540de784 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A Library and Tutorial for Factored Cognition with Language Models
We want to advance [process-based supervision for language models](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pYcFPMBtQveAjcSfH/supervise-process-not-outcomes). To make it easier for others to contribute to that goal, we're sharing code for writing compositional ... |
4dd2f915-aa3a-4992-a07e-61d1346bc6c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superintelligence 7: Decisive strategic advantage
This is part of a weekly reading group on Nick Bostrom's book, Superintelligence. For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far see the announcement post. For the schedule of future topics, see MIRI's reading guide.
-------------------------------... |
44d1b215-b4d6-4bbd-935d-5c975493cc84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thinking about AI relationally
[Hastily written, caveat emptor.]
One way to think about AI (alignment) is like how you think about fixing a car, or about an ordinary computer program. Let's say this is the "objectual" way of thinking (objectual, just meaning, "as an object"). In the objectual way of thinking, you ... |
111ecf4e-1008-43e1-9e31-5fd09c131ca3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why is the A-Theory of Time Attractive?
I've always been puzzled by why so many people have such strong intuitions about whether the A-theory or the B-theory1 of time is true. [ETA: I've written "A-theory" and "B-theory" as code for "presentism" and "eternalism", but see the first footnote.] It seems like nothing ps... |
28a3345a-aee3-41f8-89fd-505cc2edb600 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Fractal Strategy" workshop report
I just ran a workshop teaching the rationality concepts I've developed this year.
If you're interested in paying money for a similar workshop, please fill out this form.
----------------------------------------
Six months ago, I started thinking about improving rationality.
Ori... |
b20ee6ca-e38e-48b6-bb8e-b83118918b56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 9/2: Long Covid Analysis
I’m going back to New York City, baby! Tomorrow’s the big day.
Oh, yeah, the pandemic. That’s still a thing, and one still has to deal with the various ways people are dealing with it. Cases continue to rise slightly, likely due to increased testing, and we certainly aren’t seeing a big... |
687e774a-6c55-40e1-81b4-757b45b6f167 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dmitry's Koan
In this post I'll discuss questions about notions of "precision scale" in interpretability: how I think they're often neglected by researchers, and what I think is a good general way of operationalizing them and tracking them in experiments. Along the way I introduce a couple of new notions that have bee... |
09c861ac-374f-4424-aae7-9b8c34d301dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MIRI's 2016 Fundraiser
Update December 22: Our donors came together during the fundraiser to get us most of the way to our $750,000 goal. In all, 251 donors contributed $589,248, making this our second-biggest fundraiser to date. Although we fell short of our target by $160,000, we have since made up this shortfall th... |
ee987b1f-f54a-4676-81e0-e4f3453dac74 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exponential Altruism: A Strategy For A New World
Our world faces multiple global crises that are growing in both severity and urgency. These are not limited to a climate and ecological catastrophe¹, a worldwide rise in nationalism², and an unsustainable growth-based economy that has led to extreme wealth inequality ³.... |
4f8633d7-3514-4aeb-971a-430b110a6014 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Dice Room, Human Extinction, and Consistency of Bayesian Probability Theory
I'm sure that many of you here have read Quantum Computing Since Democritus. In the chapter on the anthropic principle the author presents the Dice Room scenario as a metaphor for human extinction. The Dice Room scenario is this:
1. You a... |
ea050dc4-942b-45c2-bd04-4936455e5a8b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Preventing Imitation Learning with Adversarial Policy Ensembles
1 Introduction
---------------
Imitation learning and behavioral cloning provide really strong ability to create powerful policies, as seen in robotic tasks (Laskey et al. ([2017](#bib.bib1)); Finn et al. ([2017](#bib.bib2)); Codevilla et al. ([2019](#... |
9b9c091c-2dd3-475b-a6dd-7aab61cad98c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On liking things about crushes
Sometimes I have had crushes on people, and then all kinds of miscellaneous characteristics they had seemed good. Not just their face or their sense of style or the exact way they pronounce my name. But also things that would usually be considered unattractive. For instance, if they are ... |
3309318b-ca51-44bb-ad2f-f1117d794957 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An explanation of the 'Many Interacting Worlds' theory of quantum mechanics (by Sean Carroll and Chip Sebens)
This is the first explanation of a 'many worlds' theory of quantum mechanics that has ever made sense to me. The animations are excellent:
http://www.preposterousuniverse.com/blog/2014/12/16/guest-post-chip-s... |
f2ea73dd-1f21-4526-85f3-9472cd17de91 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Political topics attract participants inclined to use the norms of mainstream political debate, risking a tipping point to lower quality discussion
(I hope that is the least click-baity title ever.)
Political topics elicit lower quality participation, holding the set of participants fixed. This is the thesis of "poli... |
43f4c116-fad1-4499-86c9-f1cb0f925133 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Omega and self-fulfilling prophecies
Omega appears to you in a puff of logic, and presents you with a closed box. "If you open this box you will find either nothing or a million dollars," Omega tells you, "and the contents will be yours to keep." "Great," you say, taking the box, "sounds like I can't lose!" "Not so fa... |
25a93140-60ec-403d-92cc-c20e603a8223 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weeping Agents
What is Agency? In a relatively intuitive way it’s a property of systems which have three things: Some –however rudimentary– way of modelling a slice of reality, a utility function over that slice of reality and a way of acting upon it. An agent can make better-than-chance guesses about how the behaviou... |
f0323afe-fa4a-41ec-9200-da82bffdff72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on February 6th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Czech's first Meetup Prague: 16 February 2015 06:00PM
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Bangalor... |
d8c4ebad-cc4b-4132-87c7-bed57116ac82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Spoiler-Free Review: Horizon Zero Dawn
Previously: Spoiler-Free Review: Witcher 3: Wild Hunt (plus a Spoilerific section), Spoiler-Free Review: Assassin’s Creed Odyssey
This review of a giant open world game is being written on July 7. That’s three days after the review of Witcher 3 was posted.
You can guess it’s no... |
ce80f6c9-1690-41ec-95a7-d89f8b6201db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Urgent & important: How (not) to do your to-do list
The Eisenhower Box is a well-known, simple decision matrix for dealing with tasks such as a to-do list, based on whether they’re urgent or important.
I reckon it has multiple flaws. But by fixing each flaw in turn, we end up with a better matrix, which I'll call Hop... |
f568aa43-f3d8-4197-9461-db6adef21230 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does a time-reversible physical law/Cellular Automaton always imply the First Law of Thermodynamics?
This question is kind of self-explanatory, but for people who are physicists, if a time reversible rule of physics/cellular automaton exists in a world, does this automatically imply the first law of thermodynamics, th... |
bff98626-4ed4-43ef-8530-2d9483f1342d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Friendship and happiness generation
Happiness and utility are different things, with happiness (measured in hedons) generally referring to the desirability of an agent being in its current mental state, while utility (measured in utils) refers to the desirability, from the point of view of some agent, of the configura... |
7124cbd8-3dc2-4959-b985-15f55f77ea09 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | “X distracts from Y” as a thinly-disguised fight over group status / politics
1. Introduction
===============
There’s a popular argument that says:
> It’s bad to talk about whether future AI algorithms might cause human extinction, because that would be a distraction from the fact that current AI algorithms are rig... |
24a14ffb-2c6f-4fd4-ae9f-0214f683e235 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Agency As a Natural Abstraction
Epistemic status: Speculative attempt to synthesize findings from several distinct approaches to AI theory.
Disclaimer: The first three sections summarize some of Chris Olah's work on interpretability and John Wentworth's Natural Abstractions Hypothesis, then attempt to draw connection... |
d3c65495-539a-4639-b022-efadd9575dcd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | $100 for the best article on efficient charty - the winner is ...
Part of the Efficient Charity Article competition. Several people have written articles on efficient charity. The entries were:
* Throwawayaccount_1
* Waitingforgodel
* Multifoliaterose
* Louie
The original criteria for the competition are listed... |
5fa7e316-8860-4a85-b16e-addb7e1a1d5e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated
The following was a presentation I made for Sören Elverlin's [AI Safety Reading Group](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ql4Y0-jEKhw). I decided to draw everything by hand because powerpoint is boring. Thanks to Ben Pace for formatting it for LW! See also [the IAF post](https://a... |
e4e605e6-4071-409b-b580-a9348b6c6353 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Jazz meetup in Philadelphia
Discussion article for the meetup : Jazz meetup in Philadelphia
WHEN: 10 February 2012 06:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Woodmere Art Museum, 9201 Germantown Avenue Philadelphia, PA 19118
Consider this one a "just for fun" event, rather than a "hard" meetup (such as we will be having on... |
18b95f85-ac59-4fb8-8703-f540c73d275e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Under-Appreciated Ways to Use Flashcards - Part II
By Tereza Ruzickova
TL;DR
In my first article, I outlined how significant flashcard learning has been for me and how I utilize it in many different - often unexpected - areas of my life. In this article, I will share some practical strategies for making the flashc... |
4b7f991a-ddd2-4680-aaa7-430925d7abcc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dating Roundup #5: Opening Day
Previously: #1, #2, #3, #4.
Since we all know that dating apps are terrible, the wise person seeks to meet prospective dates in other ways, ideally in the physical world.
Alas, this has gotten more difficult. Dating apps and shifting norms mean it is considered less appropriate, and ri... |
8a2edec5-5235-4a64-814d-7f99f9d21b30 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Acausal trade: conclusion: theory vs practice
When I started this dive into acausal trade, I expected to find subtle and interesting theoretical considerations. Instead, most of the issues are practical.
----------------------------------------
Theory
The big two theoretical questions are whether we model infinite ... |
a31715b0-7aae-4e98-b297-3496ed17bcbd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Theoretical Neuroscience For Alignment Theory
This post was written under Evan Hubinger’s direct guidance and mentorship, as a part of the Stanford Existential Risks Institute ML Alignment Theory Scholars (MATS) program.
Many additional thanks to Steve Byrnes and Adam Shimi for their helpful feedback on earlier draf... |
c189ba31-d7f0-4c9e-85ba-1178c26de089 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #59: Model Updates
Claude uses tools now. Gemini 1.5 is available to everyone and Google promises more integrations. GPT-4-Turbo gets substantial upgrades. Oh and new model from Mistral, TimeGPT for time series, and also new promising song generator. No, none of that adds up to GPT-5, but everyone try to be a littl... |
57607207-4989-4312-ab6c-f7c8da496052 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Epistemic Status: EndorsedContent Warning: Neuropsychological Infohazard, Evocation Infohazard, World War IRecommended Prior Reading: Blueprint for Armageddon Part IPart of the Series: Truth“History doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes”In any real look into the past, you realize pretty quickly that things don’t h... |
12aee791-8e52-4009-9eb3-9a24e6090fc7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Berkeley, Dallas, Pittsburgh, Vancouver, Washington DC
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Vancouver Politics Meetup: 12 May 2012 01:00PM
* Washington DC meetup: 12 May 2012 08:34PM
* Dallas - Fort Worth Less Wrong Meetup 5/13/12: 13 May 2012 01:00PM
* Pittsburgh: ... |
5aa73b54-ae54-42b5-abe7-c6ea681722d2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Into the Kiln: Insights from Tao's 'Analysis I'
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Note: real analysis is not on the MIRI reading list (although I think it should be).
Foreword
As a young boy, mathematics captivated me.
In elementary school, I'd happily while away entire weekends working through the next... |
e74bb71a-779c-4e7b-a7eb-85c18e0826cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Discovery shuttle launch viewed from an airliner
Behold the power of applied rationality!
...ok, this is really just geek mind candy.
|
22591a7f-d084-4989-9d60-16be2a87688f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Empiricism in NLP : Test Operate Text Exit (TOTE)
Epistemic status: Presentation of an established technique and history. I learned most of my NLP knowledge from Chris Mulzer who’s one of Bandler’s top students. The Origins of Neuro-Linguistic Programming by John Grinder and Frank Pucelik is my main source for the his... |
db77216a-0e38-4325-afde-9145aa20ee9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can I protect my bank account from large, surprise withdrawals?
Today's Money Stuff describes large charges for electricity auto-withdrawn from customer's accounts:
> Last week there was a brief surprising spike in the spot price of electricity in Texas... Prices went from something like $20 per megawatt-hour in ... |
a54c38f4-5aca-44aa-b52c-cea3638af8a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thinking in Bayes: Light
There are a lot of explanations of Bayes' Theorem, so I won't get into the technicalities. I will get into why it should change how you think. This post is pretty introductory, so free to totally skip it if you don't feel like there's anything about Bayes' Theorem that you don't understand.
F... |
5c4dd89a-1fcc-4e5d-bf92-c43a5ffcf6f7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Higher Dimension Cartesian Objects and Aligning ‘Tiling Simulators’
*Thanks to Justis Mills for feedback. Mistakes are mine.*
**Introduction**
================
This document will attempt to build upon the [Cartesian frame](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/2A7rrZ4ySx6R8mfoT) paradigm by modeling multi-agent worlds as high... |
45f6a21f-90d6-4d6e-be2a-ef216cb03952 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety Hub Serbia Official Opening
TLDR: We're thrilled to announce that we are now welcoming full-time tenants to our newly transformed office space for AI Safety researchers in search of an inspiring workspace. You can take a glimpse at the photos below to get a sneak peek. We're extending a warm invitation, with... |
8302cb45-18b3-4b2d-a5f4-2cae0f3b48fa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | EA for dumb people?
I've been involved in EA for nearly a year now. At first, it was super exciting. I resonated so much with the core ideas of EA, and I couldn't wait to get started with doing the most good I possibly could. I had no idea there was so much opportunity.
As I got further into it, my hopes started to f... |
0275371a-c2e1-43fa-b880-99072c595f9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Americans are fat and sick—and it’s their fault…right?
People eat more calories than they expend. They gain weight. If nobody is forcing them to eat to excess, then they only have themselves to blame, right?
I harbored this belief for a long time until I read the book The Obesity Epidemic by Dr. Robyn Toomath.[1] The... |
7fc9570e-8fd6-400b-a6e6-d4fb8eaaa57d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Designing Artificial Wisdom: GitWise and AlphaWise
Introduction
In this post I will describe two possible designs for Artificial Wisdom (AW.) This post can easily be read as a stand-alone piece, however it is also part of a series on artificial wisdom. In essence:
Artificial Wisdom refers to artificial intelligence s... |
b3315b47-07b2-419c-8b2c-706f92d0066a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards a comprehensive study of potential psychological causes of the ordinary range of variation of affective gender identity in males
This post is also available at surveyanon.
The title of this post might be quite a mouthful, so let's break it down a bit.
* "Affective gender identity" concerns how you feel abou... |
83bbc235-d445-4f68-955e-ca2f7381f50c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The limits of AI safety via debate
The limits of AI safety via debate
I recently participated in the AGI safety fundamentals program and this is my cornerstone project. During our readings of AI safety via debate (blog, paper) we had an interesting discussion on its limits and conditions under which it would fail.
... |
cedd0e06-38ff-4df1-ba8f-2f6b13316215 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Some advice on independent research
I have been doing independent research in addition to my Ph.D. for roughly a year now. For the next 6 months, I’ll take a break from my Ph.D. and plan to do AI safety research full-time. I had chats with many people about independent research in the past, e.g. on EAGs or because 80K... |
7dd386f5-a24d-457e-886a-5331253d1596 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Status: Map and Territory
I’m here to add another angle to the discussion on social vs. objective truth (example). Here’s an analogy for reasoning about status games and why people react so strongly against improper status moves:
Society is a collective consciousness. From Society’s point of view, the status game is ... |
9698e1f0-d196-4992-ab8b-eb00865a19e5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/distill | Distill Scientific Journal | Why Momentum Really Works
Why Momentum Really Works
=========================
Step-size α = 0.02
Momentum β = 0.99
We often think of Momentum as a means of dampening oscillations and speeding up the iterations, leading to faster convergence. But it has other interesting behavior. It allows a larger range of ... |
720332b5-3025-4cc2-af91-949f0d0a3642 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Learning with catastrophes
A *catastrophe* is an event so bad that we are not willing to let it happen even a single time. For example, we would be unhappy if our self-driving car *ever* accelerates to 65 mph in a residential area and hits a pedestrian.
Catastrophes present a theoretical challenge for traditional mac... |
1eedcb8a-0890-4c3a-93dd-bdb460ce9d15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Going Infinite
Previously: Sadly, FTX
I doubted whether it would be a good use of time to read Michael Lewis’s new book Going Infinite about Sam Bankman-Fried (hereafter SBF or Sam). What would I learn that I did not already know? Was Michael Lewis so far in the tank of SBF that the book was filled with ... |
b0ec7e25-b334-4394-bb9f-8f2e38490ff7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Austin, TX - Petrov Day Celebration
Discussion article for the meetup : Austin, TX - Petrov Day Celebration
WHEN: 26 September 2015 04:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 4212 Hookbilled Kite Drive
Food starts at 6. Send me a PM or email (my username at gmail) if you want to be kept up to date on details as the event a... |
3a8422b7-6b2f-4f79-b437-bf775ac70eaf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Links] Brain mapping/emulation news
[Obama Seeking to Boost Study of Human Brain](http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/18/science/project-seeks-to-build-map-of-human-brain.html?pagewanted=all&_r=1&) - Like the Human Genome Project, but for brain mapping (Feb 17)
Human brain and graphene projects chosen for one billion eu... |
72e76e36-9350-4675-aaa6-4220362ed8ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: The Reputation Society. Part I
The Reputation Society (MIT Press, 2012), edited by Hassan Masum and Mark Tovey, is an anthology on the possibilities of using online rating and reputation systems to systematically disseminate information about virtually everything - people, goods and services, ideas, etc.,... |
27ab84fd-6912-48b1-a2fc-a836014b87c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Convince me that humanity is as doomed by AGI as Yudkowsky et al., seems to believe
I’ve been very heavily involved in the (online) rationalist community for a few months now, and like many others, I have found myself quite freaked out by the apparent despair/lack of hope that seems to be sweeping the community. When ... |
8848eaf9-f63c-4843-a060-889f7a4d859f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ceiling Air Purifier
Imagine a high-capacity air filter that is extremely quiet and doesn't get in the way. I think I see how to build one; here's a prototype:
By putting a fan on the ceiling you can have very long blades. This is important for keeping noise down: the longer your blades are the more air you move at... |
4b0cda7d-f9db-447d-aee0-5da0f53affef | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "[Click here to see a list of all interviews]
I am emailing experts in order to raise and estimate the academic awareness and perception of risks from AI.
Below you will find some thoughts on the topic by Shane Legg, a computer scientist and AI researcher who has been working on theoretical models of super intelligent ... |
a6474cde-d3bc-4329-9146-779e9e992ab6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Being nice to software animals and babies
20
Being Nice to Software Animals
and Babies
AndersSandberg
For no reason, I reach down and pinch the tail of the mouse. It freezes; eyes
narrowed, cheeks puffed, it squeaks an ultrasonic sound I cannot hear. Itsfuriserect,whiskerspushedback.WhenIreleasethetail,themousequickly... |
1ff7d6c9-5c48-4950-8f2a-45e6931eac1f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Model UN Solutions"
When I was in high school, because I was on the history bowl team the teacher who advised the model UN club recruited me to play as their delegate in various “historical committees” like the Roman Senate or 1789 French Assembly. I never engaged in any normal committees since you couldn’t undertake... |
3ed9a9ca-e4f3-4422-86bf-0149cf59287a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What the future will look like
The alarm rings — gentle, cascading sounds, increasing gradually in volume, to softly rouse you from your REM cycle. The sound radiates from micro-speakers distributed around your room; the 360° soundscape makes it sound like the walls are singing, beckoning you to take on a new day.
Yo... |
d077969d-04ac-4339-af47-2072958a8801 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Update to "Dominant Assurance Contract Platform"
Update #2: Platform Launched
This is an update to The Economics of the Asteroid Deflection Problem (Dominant Assurance Contracts)
How the fundraiser went
TL;DR I got $2172.67 dollars even though I only asked for $629.
My prediction of how the fundraiser would go
I ... |
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