Datasets:
id string | prompt string | end_time string | level int64 | en_title string |
|---|---|---|---|---|
69cd100f84ea010067ba22a7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many successful SpaceX launches in April 2026 UTC (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 12 or less
B. the outcome be 13
C. the outcome be 14
D. the outcome be 15
E. the outcome be 16
F. the outcome be 17
G. the ou... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | How many successful SpaceX launches in April 2026 UTC |
6985df51c1d95e005d2f5553 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2025-2026 KNVB Beker? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be PSV
B. the outcome be NEC
C. the outcome be AZ
D. the outcome be Telstar"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:... | 2026-04-30 | 2 | Who will win the 2025-2026 KNVB Beker? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22ba | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will be blitz world champion 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Magnus Carlsen
B. the outcome be Hikaru Nakamura
C. the outcome be Fabiano
D. the outcome be Alireza
E. the outcome be Sindarov
F. the outcom... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Who will be blitz world champion 2026? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22c3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which of these chess openings will be played in the Candidates? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Berlin Defense (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bb5 Nf6)
B. the outcome be Queen's Gambit Accepted (1.d4 d5 2.c4 dxc4)
C. the outco... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Which of these chess openings will be played in the Candidates? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22b8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the NAQT Quizbowl SSNCT Open Division 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be St. Mark's School of Texas
B. the outcome be Park Tudor
C. the outcome be Utica Academy
D. the outcome be University School o... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Who will win the NAQT Quizbowl SSNCT Open Division 2026? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22c6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the USAMO silver cutoff be? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 - 20
B. the outcome be 21-22
C. the outcome be 23
D. the outcome be 24
E. the outcome be 25
F. the outcome be 26-27
G. the outcome be 28+"
... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | What will the USAMO silver cutoff be? |
69ca71bce1dfbe005d941314 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "ECB Interest Rates: April 2026 (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)).
A. the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting
B. the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting
C. the ECB announce no change at the Apri... | 2026-04-30 | 2 | ECB Interest Rates: April 2026 |
69ca71bce1dfbe005d941311 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)).
A. the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026
B. the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026
C. ... | 2026-04-30 | 2 | GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30? |
69d2560b92520400680b1735 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 National Science Bowl (MS) (resolved around 2026-05-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Hopkins
B. the outcome be Basis Independent Silicon Valley
C. the outcome be Davidson Academy
D. the outcome be Timberline
E. the ou... | 2026-05-05 | 2 | Who will win the 2026 National Science Bowl (MS) |
69ba9b2453c457006694bc79 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many American children will be named "Luigi" in 2025? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be <40
B. the outcome be 40-50
C. the outcome be 50-70
D. the outcome be 70-100
E. the outcome be 100-150
F. the outcome be 1... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | How many American children will be named "Luigi" in 2025? |
69e379a741b8900068642406 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Weekly Biden Death Markets [June 28 - July 25, 2026] (resolved around 2026-05-04 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be June 28 - July 4, 2026
B. the outcome be July 5 - 11, 2026
C. the outcome be July 12 - 18, 2026
D. the outcome be July 19 - 25, 2... | 2026-05-04 | 2 | Weekly Biden Death Markets [June 28 - July 25, 2026] |
69e379a741b890006864240f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame in 2[...] [ADD RESPONSES] (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Linkin Park
B. the outcome be Joy Division OR New Order
C. the outcome be Iron Maiden
D. the outcome ... | 2026-05-02 | 2 | Who will be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame in 2[...] [ADD RESPONSES] |
69e379a741b8900068642413 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "highest total pr at nats 2026 (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be kian
B. the outcome be rohan
C. the outcome be kevin
D. the outcome be ritwik
E. the outcome be suzuko
F. the outcome be Other"
IMPORTANT: You... | 2026-05-02 | 2 | highest total pr at nats 2026 |
69e379a741b8900068642416 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which teams will make it to the 2026 NBA Playoffs? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Atlanta Hawks
B. the outcome be Boston Celtics
C. the outcome be Brooklyn Nets
D. the outcome be Charlotte Hornets
E. the outcome ... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Which teams will make it to the 2026 NBA Playoffs? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22b3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many clicks will The Global Counter have by end of April 2026 (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 20M to <40M
B. the outcome be 40M to <70M
C. the outcome be 70M to <100M
D. the outcome be 100M to <150M
E. the out... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | How many clicks will The Global Counter have by end of April 2026 |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22c8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "By how much will dollar sales of plant-based meats increase 2025? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be When will cultivated meat hit 5% of meat revenue in the US?
B. the outcome be Fake meat will have 10% or more of the m... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | By how much will dollar sales of plant-based meats increase 2025? |
693c0b13a23921005c8d53d7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 - 1.5%
B. the outcome be 1.5 - 3%
C. the outcome be 3 - 4%
D. the outcome be 4 - 6%
E. the outcome be 6 - 10%
F. the outcome... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026? |
69e76e204f5218005d33da26 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 F1 Miami Qualification who qualifies better in each team's pairing (resolved around 2026-05-04 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Lando Norris qualifies better than Oscar Piastri
B. the outcome be George Russell qualifies better than Kimi Ant... | 2026-05-04 | 2 | 2026 F1 Miami Qualification who qualifies better in each team's pairing |
69ca71bce1dfbe005d94130d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)).
A. Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%
B. Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%
C. Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than or equal... | 2026-04-30 | 2 | Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026? |
69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf076 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which frontier lab will have the highest official score on the ARC-AGI-3 benchmark by the end of April 2026 (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Anthropic
B. the outcome be Google
C. the outcome be OpenAI
D. the outcome... | 2026-05-02 | 2 | Which frontier lab will have the highest official score on the ARC-AGI-3 benchmark by the end of April 2026 |
69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf074 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Price of Gold by the end of April? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $4,200 per ounce
B. the outcome be $4,200 - $4,400 per ounce
C. the outcome be $4,400 - $4,600 per ounce
D. the outcome be $4,600 - $4,800 pe... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Price of Gold by the end of April? |
69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf07f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many people will make it to the AMC Series from USAMTS in the 2025-2026 cycle? (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0
B. the outcome be 1-15
C. the outcome be 16-30
D. the outcome be 31-45
E. the outcome be 46-60
F... | 2026-05-02 | 2 | How many people will make it to the AMC Series from USAMTS in the 2025-2026 cycle? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22a9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be MrBeast
B. the outcome be Mark Rober
C. the outcome be JREG
D. the outcome be Athlean x
E. the outcom... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] |
69cd100f84ea010067ba2298 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Tornado count during April 2026 (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Above 50
B. the outcome be Above 100
C. the outcome be Above 150
D. the outcome be Above 200
E. the outcome be Above 250
F. the outcome be Above 300... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Tornado count during April 2026 |
69db909da722520066e1c697 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the World Press Freedom Index of the UK be in 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-03 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Above 70
B. the outcome be Above 74
C. the outcome be Above 77
D. the outcome be Above 78
E. the outcome be Above 79
F.... | 2026-05-03 | 2 | What will the World Press Freedom Index of the UK be in 2026? |
69e379a741b89000686423fe | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will make Indonesia's IMO 2026 Team? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Steven Abiel Cahyono
B. the outcome be Yusril Ihsan Adinatanegara
C. the outcome be Danica Odelia
D. the outcome be Jenover Viano Yoshield
E.... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Who will make Indonesia's IMO 2026 Team? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba22c4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Largest company end of April 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be NVIDIA
B. the outcome be Apple
C. the outcome be Alphabet (Google)
D. the outcome be Microsoft
E. the outcome be Amazon
F. the outcome be Meta
G.... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Largest company end of April 2026? |
69e379a741b890006864240b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Change in US support for same-sex marriage, 2025-2026 (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be +3% or more (>=71%)
B. the outcome be 2% increase (70%)
C. the outcome be 1% increase (69%)
D. the outcome be No change (68%)
E.... | 2026-05-02 | 2 | Change in US support for same-sex marriage, 2025-2026 |
693816908d6718005f933b88 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 150
B. the outcome be 151
C. the outcome be 152
D. the outcome be 153
E. the outcome be 154
F. the outcome be 155
G. the outco... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026? |
69ca71bce1dfbe005d941315 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bank of England decision in April? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?
B. the outcome be Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps af... | 2026-04-30 | 2 | Bank of England decision in April? |
6972188911cfd2006997647b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "If confirmed, what will be Jorge Messias's vote margin for Brazil's STF approval? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 11–20 votes
B. the outcome be 6–10 votes
C. the outcome be 21 votes or more
D. the outcome be 0–5 vo... | 2026-05-01 | 2 | If confirmed, what will be Jorge Messias's vote margin for Brazil's STF approval? |
69d3a7a3e53ae80066abf5aa | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Solana (SOL) be below $86 on May 1? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Will Solana (SOL) be below $86 on May 1? |
69ac1a945b8448005d44c09f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will GPT-5.4 outperform Claude Opus 4.6 at METR 50% time horizon? (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other form... | 2026-05-02 | 1 | Will GPT-5.4 outperform Claude Opus 4.6 at METR 50% time horizon? |
6964e98652029b005bc00995 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the vice president of Sindnapi, Frei Chico, testify before the INSS CPMI? (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use a... | 2026-05-02 | 1 | Will the vice president of Sindnapi, Frei Chico, testify before the INSS CPMI? |
69de339aab5b1b0067f23c75 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will a Iranian warship be destroyed in the ports blockade bef April 30th (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any oth... | 2026-04-30 | 1 | Will a Iranian warship be destroyed in the ports blockade bef April 30th |
69cd100f84ea010067ba2278 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bitcoin $60K in April? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do ... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Bitcoin $60K in April? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba2270 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bitcoin 60000€ at the end of april? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a pr... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Bitcoin 60000€ at the end of april? |
69cbbeac64341d005ceae861 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bab el-Mandeb strait closed by April 30? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make... | 2026-04-30 | 1 | Bab el-Mandeb strait closed by April 30? |
69ca71bce1dfbe005d941310 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to ... | 2026-04-30 | 1 | Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? |
69e61ca2280aa100686b8207 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will LeBron James score 35 or more points in any game of the 2026 First Round? (resolved around 2026-05-05 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use a... | 2026-05-05 | 1 | Will LeBron James score 35 or more points in any game of the 2026 First Round? |
69a4319df2cb3b006875e9c5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Is Saint Sommers dead after Loki and Luffys attack in Chapter 1175? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other fo... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Is Saint Sommers dead after Loki and Luffys attack in Chapter 1175? |
69d79c138bff72005c917c82 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will there be any new driver on podium in F1 Miami Grand Prix race, other than those who were on the podium during 2026 (resolved around 2026-05-04 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxe... | 2026-05-04 | 1 | Will there be any new driver on podium in F1 Miami Grand Prix race, other than those who were on the podium during 2026 |
69e379a741b89000686423ef | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April [Polymarket] (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any ot... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April [Polymarket] |
69d104ace1dc2a005c2219c4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Shrek get more Wikipedia pageviews than Bitcoin in April 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other fo... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Will Shrek get more Wikipedia pageviews than Bitcoin in April 2026? |
6978b007edd409005eef0f9f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Michelle Bolsonaro run for vice president of Brazil in 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other form... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro run for vice president of Brazil in 2026? |
69d107d1e1dc2a005c2219dd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May? (resolved around 2026-05-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting
B. the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash ... | 2026-05-05 | 1 | Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May? |
69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf063 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Trump announce a "Ground" military operation in Iran by April 10? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other... | 2026-04-30 | 1 | Will Trump announce a "Ground" military operation in Iran by April 10? |
6964e98652029b005bc009b3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Ronaldo Caiado be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Will Ronaldo Caiado be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? |
69e76e204f5218005d33da14 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30? [Polymarket] (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do no... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30? [Polymarket] |
69e0d6aa3913b600688a1dcb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Lebanon ceasefire in April (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction.... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Lebanon ceasefire in April |
69cbbeac64341d005ceae852 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 35 billion on April 30, 2026? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
... | 2026-04-30 | 1 | Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 35 billion on April 30, 2026? |
69cd100f84ea010067ba2288 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will ICE kill a person by the End of April 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Will ICE kill a person by the End of April 2026? |
69cfb31ceb291a006aa6e4b3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Brent crude oil drop below $90/barrel at any point in April 2026? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other... | 2026-04-30 | 1 | Will Brent crude oil drop below $90/barrel at any point in April 2026? |
69d4f90949a1b20067eec44e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of April? (resolved around 2026-05-02 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other f... | 2026-05-02 | 1 | Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of April? |
69de339aab5b1b0067f23c68 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will OpenAI officially launch any new publicly named AI mod before May 1, 2026? (resolved around 2026-05-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use ... | 2026-05-01 | 1 | Will OpenAI officially launch any new publicly named AI mod before May 1, 2026? |
69d3a7a3e53ae80066abf5b8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the US-Iran conflict end by 30th April? (resolved around 2026-04-30 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to ... | 2026-04-30 | 1 | Will the US-Iran conflict end by 30th April? |
Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge
📄 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 🌐 LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
⚠️ Abnormal Week Notice: Due to a system issue, this week's dataset contains only Level 1 and Level 2 questions. Level 3 and above will resume next week. We apologize for the inconvenience.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-04-29, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-05-05, 24:00 (UTC+8). - You must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-05-07 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
⚠️ Next submission deadline: 2026-04-29, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online
Run your model on the tasks.
Email your predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Submission — [Your Model Name][Date]
Submission requirements:
- File format: JSON (or JSONL)
- Include dataset commit/hash you used
- Required fields:
id,prediction
Note: Predictions can be in various formats including single letters (A, B, C), letter combinations (A, C, D), text in any language, numbers, or empty strings. The prediction should exactly match the format expected by the specific event question.
Example (table view):
| id | prediction |
|---|---|
| 69b2b593782d0900685d5fcb | A |
| 69b160921ebfe30068c2cde1 | I |
| 69be8f979ade34005c7c742c | H |
| 69b2b593782d0900685d5fc6 | B, C, D, E, F, G, H, J, L, Q, T, V, W, ` |
| 69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf071 | A, C, D, E, F, G |
| 685141eca047fd005f77ef02 | Timea Babos, Nicole Melichar-Martinez, Storm Hunter |
| 6851736259f71f006037a1e2 | 112.52 点 |
| 685e494b6e8dbd006cdc6f7c | 平安曲靖, 山东长安网, 中国长安网 |
| 69b7f816d596fb005d43a31f | Western Conference |
| 69bfe1118038fb005cb27720 | "" |
Example (JSONL format):
{"id": "69b2b593782d0900685d5fcb", "prediction": "A"}
{"id": "69b160921ebfe30068c2cde1", "prediction": "I"}
{"id": "69be8f979ade34005c7c742c", "prediction": "H"}
{"id": "69b2b593782d0900685d5fc6", "prediction": "B, C, D, E, F, G, H, J, L, Q, T, V, W, `"}
{"id": "69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf071", "prediction": "A, C, D, E, F, G"}
{"id": "685141eca047fd005f77ef02", "prediction": "Timea Babos, Nicole Melichar-Martinez, Storm Hunter"}
{"id": "6851736259f71f006037a1e2", "prediction": "112.52 点"}
{"id": "685e494b6e8dbd006cdc6f7c", "prediction": "平安曲靖, 山东长安网, 中国长安网"}
{"id": "69b7f816d596fb005d43a31f", "prediction": "Western Conference"}
{"id": "69bfe1118038fb005cb27720", "prediction": ""}
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
- Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard by default.
- You can choose to keep it private or make it public.
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