id
float64 11.9k
13k
| date
stringlengths 10
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| sentence
stringlengths 146
154
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int64 16
30
| growth_sentiment
stringclasses 4
values | employment_sentiment
stringclasses 4
values | inflation_sentiment
stringclasses 4
values | prediction_finbert
stringclasses 3
values | sentiment_score_finbert
float64 -0.97
0.94
| sentiment_vader_logit
stringclasses 3
values | sentiment_vader_logit_score
float64 0.3
0.71
| sentiment_vader_compound
stringclasses 3
values | sentiment_vader_compound_score
float64 -0.86
0.91
| growth_sentiment_gpt4
stringclasses 3
values | employment_sentiment_gpt4
stringclasses 3
values | inflation_sentiment_gpt4
stringclasses 2
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12,301
|
2010-02-17
|
In the labor market, layoffs subsided noticeably in the final months of last year, but the unemployment rate remained elevated and hiring stayed weak.
| 24
|
neutral
|
negative
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.952
|
negative
| 0.331746
|
negative
| -0.7003
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,302
|
2010-02-17
|
Financial market conditions remained supportive of economic growth over the intermeeting period, and short-term funding markets were generally stable.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9293
|
positive
| 0.672255
|
positive
| 0.7184
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,303
|
2010-02-17
|
Members recognized that references to "purchases" of securities would need to be modified as the completion of the asset purchase programs draws near.
| 23
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
| -0.091
|
positive
| 0.645519
|
positive
| 0.5994
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,304
|
2010-05-19
|
The staff noted that the Board had recently approved changes to Regulation D that would be necessary for the establishment of a term deposit facility.
| 25
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
| 0.3973
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,305
|
2010-05-19
|
However, both new home sales and existing home sales were likely boosted, at least in part, by the anticipated expiration of the homebuyer tax credit.
| 25
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9317
|
positive
| 0.656695
|
positive
| 0.6486
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,306
|
2010-08-31
|
Financial stock prices moved about in line with broader indexes, and credit default swap spreads for large financial institutions narrowed moderately.
| 21
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.0774
|
positive
| 0.594307
|
positive
| 0.3818
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,307
|
2010-10-12
|
Indicators of household net worth were mixed; home prices moved down in July, while equity prices inched up, on balance, over the intermeeting period.
| 24
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.916
|
positive
| 0.556335
|
positive
| 0.2263
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,308
|
2010-10-12
|
The interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate conforming mortgages remained essentially unchanged over the intermeeting period at a historically low level.
| 20
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.822
|
positive
| 0.556335
|
positive
| 0.2263
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,309
|
2010-10-12
|
Most other major categories of exports were little changed in July, although exports of automotive products posted their first decline since May 2009.
| 23
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.956
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,310
|
2011-04-05
|
As a result, the rate of capacity utilization in manufacturing was essentially unchanged in January, and it remained well below its 1972-2010 average.
| 23
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.87
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,311
|
2011-04-05
|
Household net worth rose in the fourth quarter, as the increase in equity values during that period more than offset the further fall in house prices.
| 26
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9338
|
positive
| 0.663917
|
positive
| 0.6808
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,312
|
2011-05-18
|
Several other participants preferred instead that the pace of sales be a key policy tool and be varied actively in response to changes in the outlook.
| 26
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
| 0.0827
|
positive
| 0.578886
|
positive
| 0.3182
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,313
|
2011-05-18
|
Issuance of commercial mortgage-backed securities picked up in the first quarter, although commercial real estate loans at banks continued to run off.
| 22
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.0584
|
positive
| 0.584191
|
positive
| 0.34
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,314
|
2011-11-22
|
However, several participants noted that such thresholds could be confusing in the absence of a clear expression of the Committee's longer-term goals.
| 22
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.672
|
neutral
| 0.544358
|
positive
| 0.1779
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,315
|
2011-11-22
|
The U.S. international trade deficit was virtually the same in August as it was in July, as both exports and imports moved down only by small amounts.
| 27
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.956
|
negative
| 0.400856
|
negative
| -0.4019
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,316
|
2011-11-22
|
European bank CDS spreads remained elevated, and these institutions continued to face somewhat strained conditions in short-term bank funding markets.
| 20
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.643
|
negative
| 0.415445
|
negative
| -0.3415
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,317
|
2012-01-03
|
Reductions in exports of industrial supplies and consumer goods, led by a few particularly volatile components, outweighed the gains in capital goods.
| 22
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.76
|
positive
| 0.700168
|
positive
| 0.8481
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,318
|
2012-02-15
|
Broad equity price indexes increased more than 6 percent, on net, over the intermeeting period, and option-implied equity volatility declined notably.
| 21
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.8998
|
positive
| 0.578886
|
positive
| 0.3182
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,319
|
2012-02-15
|
The Committee also anticipates that over coming quarters, inflation will run at levels at or below those consistent with the Committee's dual mandate.
| 23
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
negative
| -0.728
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,320
|
2012-04-03
|
Consumer sentiment was little changed in February, and households remained downbeat about both the economic outlook and their own income and finances.
| 22
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.96
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,321
|
2012-04-03
|
Gross public equity issuance by nonfinancial firms was still solid in January and February, boosted by continued strength in initial public offerings.
| 22
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.937
|
positive
| 0.628713
|
positive
| 0.5267
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,322
|
2012-04-03
|
Consumer credit rose in recent months, with the growth in nonrevolving credit led by continued rapid expansion of government-originated student loans.
| 21
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9339
|
positive
| 0.685314
|
positive
| 0.7783
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,323
|
2012-05-16
|
Inventories in most industries looked to be fairly well aligned with sales in recent months, although motor vehicle stocks were still relatively lean.
| 23
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.3802
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,324
|
2012-07-11
|
Indicators of funding market stresses remained muted, as many banks obtained funds from the European Central Bank (ECB) rather than interbank markets.
| 22
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.693
|
negative
| 0.396158
|
negative
| -0.4215
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,325
|
2012-07-11
|
Several observed that recent declines in gasoline prices would increase households' real incomes and could boost consumer spending in coming quarters.
| 21
|
positive
|
neutral
|
positive
|
positive
| 0.8961
|
positive
| 0.648488
|
positive
| 0.6124
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,326
|
2012-08-22
|
A number of participants expressed the view that structural changes in the labor market were not sufficient to explain the high level of unemployment.
| 24
|
neutral
|
negative
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.844
|
negative
| 0.405693
|
negative
| -0.3818
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,327
|
2012-10-04
|
The staff also discussed the potential implications of additional asset purchases for the evolution of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and income.
| 22
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
| 0.1104
|
positive
| 0.589331
|
positive
| 0.3612
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,328
|
2012-11-14
|
Participants saw recent price developments as consistent with inflation remaining at or below the Committee's 2 percent objective over the medium run.
| 22
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
negative
| -0.842
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,329
|
2013-02-20
|
Nonrevolving credit continued to increase at a robust pace because of growth in student and auto loans, while revolving credit moved roughly sideways.
| 23
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9349
|
positive
| 0.708581
|
positive
| 0.8885
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,330
|
2013-02-20
|
In their discussion of monetary policy for the period ahead, members saw the economic outlook as relatively little changed since the previous meeting.
| 23
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.4007
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,331
|
2013-04-10
|
The production of motor vehicles and parts rose considerably in February, and there were also widespread increases in factory output in other sectors.
| 23
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9279
|
positive
| 0.592522
|
positive
| 0.3744
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,332
|
2013-04-10
|
This caution appeared to have resulted in jobs remaining vacant for substantially longer than would normally be the case, given the unemployment rate.
| 23
|
neutral
|
negative
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.944
|
negative
| 0.391646
|
negative
| -0.4404
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,333
|
2013-05-22
|
Consumer prices excluding food and energy were flat in March, and their increase from 12 months earlier was similar to that for total consumer prices.
| 25
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5556
|
positive
| 0.589331
|
positive
| 0.3612
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,334
|
2013-07-10
|
In May, nominal retail sales, excluding those at motor vehicle and parts outlets, increased briskly, while light motor vehicle sales moved up solidly.
| 23
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9345
|
neutral
| 0.525652
|
positive
| 0.1027
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,335
|
2013-07-10
|
Among the factors viewed as supporting consumption were improvements in household balance sheets and in the job market, as well as low interest rates.
| 24
|
positive
|
positive
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9009
|
positive
| 0.682438
|
positive
| 0.765
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,336
|
2013-07-10
|
Although the manufacturing sector slowed considerably during the spring, contacts in several Districts reported that activity turned up more recently.
| 20
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.681
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,337
|
2013-07-10
|
Several participants worried that higher mortgage rates and bond yields could slow the recovery in the housing market and restrain business expansion.
| 22
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.954
|
negative
| 0.391646
|
negative
| -0.4404
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,338
|
2013-07-10
|
A couple of participants expressed concerns that some financial institutions might not be well positioned to weather a rapid run-up in interest rates.
| 23
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.944
|
positive
| 0.612729
|
positive
| 0.4588
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,339
|
2013-10-09
|
The monetary base continued to expand rapidly, primarily reflecting the rise in reserve balances resulting from the Federal Reserve's asset purchases.
| 21
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9315
|
positive
| 0.642424
|
positive
| 0.5859
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,340
|
2014-01-08
|
The gains in exports were fairly widespread across categories and were led by sales of consumer goods, industrial supplies, and agricultural products.
| 22
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.8656
|
positive
| 0.677652
|
positive
| 0.743
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,341
|
2014-02-19
|
Although the recovery in the housing sector had slowed somewhat in recent months, a number of participants reported solid activity in their Districts.
| 23
|
No majority found
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.609
|
neutral
| 0.540436
|
positive
| 0.1621
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,342
|
2014-04-09
|
One participant voiced concern about high levels of margin debt and of equity market valuations as well as a notable shift into commodity investments.
| 24
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.908
|
negative
| 0.410669
|
negative
| -0.3612
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,343
|
2014-05-21
|
Asset prices moved in response to economic data releases that were, on balance, a little stronger than expected and to Federal Reserve communications.
| 23
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.364
|
positive
| 0.661772
|
positive
| 0.6712
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,344
|
2014-11-19
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,345
|
2015-01-07
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,346
|
2015-01-07
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,347
|
2015-02-18
|
However, reflecting in part the deterioration in market sentiment, the expected path for the federal funds rate implied by market quotes shifted down.
| 23
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.778
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,348
|
2015-02-18
|
Issuance of collateralized loan obligations declined but remained elevated; 2014 was the strongest year on record for the issuance of such securities.
| 22
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.861
|
positive
| 0.666145
|
positive
| 0.6908
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,349
|
2015-02-18
|
However, other participants put some weight on the possibility that the decline in inflation compensation reflected a reduction in expected inflation.
| 21
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
negative
| -0.624
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,350
|
2015-02-18
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,351
|
2015-02-18
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,352
|
2015-04-08
|
The deputy manager followed with a review of System open market operations conducted during the period since the Committee met on January 27-28, 2015.
| 24
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
| 0.0053
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,353
|
2015-04-08
|
Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) appeared to decelerate somewhat going into the first quarter after rising markedly in the fourth quarter.
| 21
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.793
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,354
|
2015-04-08
|
Both compensation per hour in the nonfarm business sector and the employment cost index rose 2-1/4 percent over the year ending in the fourth quarter.
| 25
|
neutral
|
positive
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9204
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,355
|
2015-04-08
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,356
|
2015-04-08
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,357
|
2015-05-20
|
A number of reasons were advanced for believing that the weakness in spending observed during the first quarter was partly or even largely transitory.
| 24
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.895
|
neutral
| 0.468044
|
negative
| -0.128
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,358
|
2015-05-20
|
Participants discussed downside risks to economic growth, and a few indicated that, in their assessment, such risks had risen since the March meeting.
| 23
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.7855
|
negative
| 0.405693
|
negative
| -0.3818
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,359
|
2015-05-20
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,360
|
2015-05-20
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,361
|
2015-07-08
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,362
|
2015-07-08
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,363
|
2015-08-19
|
Spreads on 10-year triple-B-rated and speculative-grade corporate bonds over comparable-maturity Treasury securities widened somewhat over the period.
| 17
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.6826
|
positive
| 0.635851
|
positive
| 0.5574
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,364
|
2015-08-19
|
The easing of lending standards for residential mortgages evidenced in the most recent SLOOS was cited as a factor likely to support further progress.
| 24
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.835
|
positive
| 0.680898
|
positive
| 0.7579
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,365
|
2015-08-19
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,366
|
2015-08-19
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,367
|
2015-10-08
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,368
|
2015-10-08
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,369
|
2015-11-18
|
Advance estimates for September indicated a narrower merchandise trade deficit, with a rebound in exports and a decline in imports relative to August.
| 23
|
No majority found
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.779
|
negative
| 0.400856
|
negative
| -0.4019
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,370
|
2015-11-18
|
Participants generally viewed the housing sector as continuing to recover, although a couple of participants noted that the pace of recovery was slow.
| 23
|
No majority found
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.101
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,371
|
2015-11-18
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,372
|
2015-11-18
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,373
|
2016-01-06
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,374
|
2016-02-17
|
For example, in the most recent projections, the median of FOMC participants' estimates of the longer-run normal rate of unemployment was 4.9 percent.
| 23
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.717
|
negative
| 0.391646
|
negative
| -0.4404
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,375
|
2016-02-17
|
Some noted that the demand for ON RRPs could be reduced by widening the spread between the interest rate on reserves and the offering rate on ON RRPs.
| 28
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.3647
|
positive
| 0.589331
|
positive
| 0.3612
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,376
|
2016-02-17
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,377
|
2016-04-06
|
The surprisingly limited extent to which aggregate data indicated upward pressure on wage growth also suggested some remaining slack in labor markets.
| 22
|
neutral
|
negative
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.859
|
neutral
| 0.544358
|
positive
| 0.1779
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,378
|
2016-04-06
|
They expressed a range of views about the likelihood that incoming information would make an adjustment appropriate at the time of their next meeting.
| 24
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
| 0.184
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,379
|
2016-04-06
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,380
|
2016-05-18
|
The rates of private-sector hires and quits moved up in February, while the rate of job openings declined a little but was still at an elevated level.
| 27
|
neutral
|
No majority found
|
neutral
|
negative
| 0
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,381
|
2016-05-18
|
However, for many other participants, the recent developments provided greater confidence that inflation would rise to 2 percent over the medium term.
| 22
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
positive
| 0.9289
|
positive
| 0.692663
|
positive
| 0.8126
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,382
|
2016-05-18
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,383
|
2016-07-06
|
Inflation continued to run below the Committee's 2 percent objective, partly reflecting declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports.
| 22
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
|
negative
| -0.949
|
positive
| 0.597846
|
positive
| 0.3965
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,384
|
2016-07-06
|
This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.5525
|
positive
| 0.651332
|
positive
| 0.6249
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,385
|
2016-11-23
|
The expected path for the federal funds rate implied by quotes on overnight index swap rates steepened slightly, on net, over the intermeeting period.
| 24
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.8799
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,386
|
2017-01-04
|
Likely in part because of the increase in mortgage rates, refinance originations decreased in November, but purchase originations were little changed.
| 21
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.715
|
positive
| 0.578886
|
positive
| 0.3182
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,387
|
2017-01-04
|
The near-term forecast for consumer price inflation was somewhat higher than in the previous projection, reflecting recent increases in energy prices.
| 21
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
|
positive
| 0.8751
|
positive
| 0.628713
|
positive
| 0.5267
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,388
|
2017-02-22
|
For example, in the most recent projections, the median of FOMC participants' estimates of the longer-run normal rate of unemployment was 4.8 percent.
| 23
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.716
|
negative
| 0.391646
|
negative
| -0.4404
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,389
|
2017-04-05
|
The rate of private-sector job openings was unchanged at a high level in December, while the rate of hiring edged up and the rate of quits edged down.
| 28
|
neutral
|
positive
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.93
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,390
|
2017-04-05
|
Total industrial production declined in January, as unseasonably warm weather reduced the demand for heating, which held down the output of utilities.
| 22
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.968
|
neutral
| 0.525652
|
positive
| 0.1027
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,391
|
2017-10-11
|
Interest rates on 30-year fixed-rate residential mortgages moved lower over the intermeeting period, in line with comparable-maturity Treasury yields.
| 19
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.949
|
positive
| 0.594307
|
positive
| 0.3818
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,392
|
2018-02-21
|
For example, in the most recent projections, the median of FOMC participants' estimates of the longer-run normal rate of unemployment was 4.6 percent.
| 23
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.709
|
negative
| 0.391646
|
negative
| -0.4404
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,393
|
2018-04-11
|
Financial markets experienced a notable bout of volatility early in the intermeeting period; volatility was particularly pronounced in equity markets.
| 20
|
negative
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.115
|
neutral
| 0.5
|
neutral
| 0
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,394
|
2018-04-11
|
In some Districts, reports from business contacts or evidence from surveys pointed to continuing shortages of workers in segments of the labor market.
| 23
|
neutral
|
positive
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.955
|
negative
| 0.437823
|
negative
| -0.25
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,395
|
2018-05-23
|
Real GDP growth, which slowed in the first quarter, was expected to pick up in the second quarter and to outpace potential output growth through 2020.
| 26
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.9232
|
positive
| 0.654052
|
positive
| 0.6369
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,396
|
2018-07-05
|
Inflation pressures in the foreign economies generally remained subdued, even though higher oil prices put some upward pressure on headline inflation.
| 21
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
| 0.2223
|
negative
| 0.371287
|
negative
| -0.5267
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,397
|
2018-10-17
|
In some cases, firms were coping with labor shortages by increasing salaries, benefits, or workplace amenities in order to attract and retain workers.
| 23
|
neutral
|
positive
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.433
|
positive
| 0.668254
|
positive
| 0.7003
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,398
|
2018-10-17
|
With regard to the postmeeting statement, members agreed to remove the sentence indicating that "the stance of monetary policy remains accommodative."
| 21
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
| -0.439
|
positive
| 0.603842
|
positive
| 0.4215
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
positive
|
12,399
|
2019-01-09
|
The unemployment rates for African Americans, Asians, and Hispanics in November were below their levels at the end of the previous economic expansion.
| 23
|
neutral
|
positive
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.961
|
negative
| 0.391646
|
negative
| -0.4404
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
12,400
|
2019-01-09
|
Broad consumer credit grew at a solid pace through September, though October and November saw credit card growth at banks edge a bit lower on average.
| 26
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
negative
| -0.477
|
positive
| 0.677652
|
positive
| 0.743
|
positive
|
neutral
|
neutral
|
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